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We did OK for the first half of the month and then faded out -- a lot of the economic data in the last few weeks have been a little discouraging. It's kind of a sour way to end a good quarter but not too bad for the month. - Donald Selkin Quotes

We did OK for the first half of the month and then faded out -- a lot of the economic data in the last few weeks have been a little discouraging. It's kind of a sour way to end a good quarter but not too bad for the month.

I think if they take out the language about inflation, as well as leave in the 'measured' (at future meetings), that will calm the market a bit. - Donald Selkin Quotes

I think if they take out the language about inflation, as well as leave in the 'measured' (at future meetings), that will calm the market a bit.

It's such a knee-jerk reaction. I don't think that what the Fed said justifies the kind of reaction we saw. I would like to think that we could rally back after the certification is completed tomorrow, but I don't know. I am just stunned by the extent of this decline. Hopefully, it was a one-time reaction. - Donald Selkin Quotes

It's such a knee-jerk reaction. I don't think that what the Fed said justifies the kind of reaction we saw. I would like to think that we could rally back after the certification is completed tomorrow, but I don't know. I am just stunned by the extent of this decline. Hopefully, it was a one-time reaction.

We made a good recovery off the April lows, but now we may need to move sideways and consolidate. Maybe then that will set us up for the typical November through January advance. - Donald Selkin Quotes

We made a good recovery off the April lows, but now we may need to move sideways and consolidate. Maybe then that will set us up for the typical November through January advance.

I think we'll consolidate around these levels, maybe pull back a bit next week, but nothing much. - Donald Selkin Quotes

I think we'll consolidate around these levels, maybe pull back a bit next week, but nothing much.

Between Texas Instruments, the rise in oil prices, and commodities, we got hit today. But the decline wasn't terrible. Last week we had nice gains, and today, we're kind of consolidating. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Between Texas Instruments, the rise in oil prices, and commodities, we got hit today. But the decline wasn't terrible. Last week we had nice gains, and today, we're kind of consolidating.

There seems to be a little bit of shifting into some of the beaten-down cyclical stocks. They are rallying off of oversold conditions. - Donald Selkin Quotes

There seems to be a little bit of shifting into some of the beaten-down cyclical stocks. They are rallying off of oversold conditions.

Next week is the big one for earnings. You've got Microsoft, Intel, all the banks. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Next week is the big one for earnings. You've got Microsoft, Intel, all the banks.

Banks

Markets are going to drift in this range ... until corporate profits and GDP (gross domestic product) start to improve. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Markets are going to drift in this range ... until corporate profits and GDP (gross domestic product) start to improve.

This is the classic 'buy the rumor, sell the news' reaction. The market is expecting the second-quarter earnings are going to meet or beat, so even though Yahoo! almost tripled its earnings, you're seeing some selling. - Donald Selkin Quotes

This is the classic 'buy the rumor, sell the news' reaction. The market is expecting the second-quarter earnings are going to meet or beat, so even though Yahoo! almost tripled its earnings, you're seeing some selling.

News

Blair is trying to put people's perspective in the right place. Maybe they expected too much in the first week. He's saying that we are making progress and we are going to try and work with the U.N., and that reassures people. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Blair is trying to put people's perspective in the right place. Maybe they expected too much in the first week. He's saying that we are making progress and we are going to try and work with the U.N., and that reassures people.

They make electronic components for the original equipment manufacturers. In February, they bought the Motorola ( MOT ) division that makes parts for wireless cell phones. Well, it came down a little bit..made a new high, dropped a little bit, and is now on the way back up. They have the potential strong earnings growth. - Donald Selkin Quotes

They make electronic components for the original equipment manufacturers. In February, they bought the Motorola ( MOT ) division that makes parts for wireless cell phones. Well, it came down a little bit..made a new high, dropped a little bit, and is now on the way back up. They have the potential strong earnings growth.

Right now business stinks, consumer confidence is down, the travel industry is suffering and the economic reports haven't been good and any economic recovery is going to be linked to the war. There haven't been too many first-quarter negative pre-announcements, but I'm still worried about corporate profits in the first quarter. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Right now business stinks, consumer confidence is down, the travel industry is suffering and the economic reports haven't been good and any economic recovery is going to be linked to the war. There haven't been too many first-quarter negative pre-announcements, but I'm still worried about corporate profits in the first quarter.

There's tremendous relief after all the selling, and statistically, we have some verification that this could be a bottom. But that doesn't mean we're going to see another day like this. There's still tremendous negativity. - Donald Selkin Quotes

There's tremendous relief after all the selling, and statistically, we have some verification that this could be a bottom. But that doesn't mean we're going to see another day like this. There's still tremendous negativity.

Some late talk was circulating that they would move their bias. We also saw the market rallying strongly into the decision and we sold off on the disappointment. I believe we're more on the way to a soft landing. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Some late talk was circulating that they would move their bias. We also saw the market rallying strongly into the decision and we sold off on the disappointment. I believe we're more on the way to a soft landing.

I'm maybe more optimistic for the end of the year, but for the next few weeks, I think we are still in these treacherous waters. We're just going to have to grin and bear it, and then maybe we'll see a run up in November and December. - Donald Selkin Quotes

I'm maybe more optimistic for the end of the year, but for the next few weeks, I think we are still in these treacherous waters. We're just going to have to grin and bear it, and then maybe we'll see a run up in November and December.

The market hasn't collapsed or anything, but we've been going sideways for awhile. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The market hasn't collapsed or anything, but we've been going sideways for awhile.

The market may be overreacting to stock news that really isn't so terrible. For some reason, Home Depot's news is being seen as really negative. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The market may be overreacting to stock news that really isn't so terrible. For some reason, Home Depot's news is being seen as really negative.

Home

We've gone up nine days in a row. I think we're probably in for a brief pullback next week, probably in response to the Fed statement. - Donald Selkin Quotes

We've gone up nine days in a row. I think we're probably in for a brief pullback next week, probably in response to the Fed statement.

For the year, the three major indexes aren't doing much, but considering the period we're in, the fact that the market has done all right is surprising. - Donald Selkin Quotes

For the year, the three major indexes aren't doing much, but considering the period we're in, the fact that the market has done all right is surprising.

Intel's news will have an impact on tech tomorrow, but it's going to be overshadowed by the jobs report. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Intel's news will have an impact on tech tomorrow, but it's going to be overshadowed by the jobs report.

Jobs

It was a very disappointing session. You would think after all these down days we would get a bounce, but when the market gets in a funk, it puts a negative interpretation on everything and finds any reason to sell off. - Donald Selkin Quotes

It was a very disappointing session. You would think after all these down days we would get a bounce, but when the market gets in a funk, it puts a negative interpretation on everything and finds any reason to sell off.

The stocks that are benefiting most from better earnings are the small and mid-cap ones. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The stocks that are benefiting most from better earnings are the small and mid-cap ones.

They projected higher for the first quarter, but they came in a little light on revenue for this quarter. Maybe people are worrying that they can't continue growing at these levels. - Donald Selkin Quotes

They projected higher for the first quarter, but they came in a little light on revenue for this quarter. Maybe people are worrying that they can't continue growing at these levels.

We're trying to go the distance for a change, but we're basically hostage to these geopolitical events. We're not going to sustain anything consistently on the upside until we get a resolution to this thing. - Donald Selkin Quotes

We're trying to go the distance for a change, but we're basically hostage to these geopolitical events. We're not going to sustain anything consistently on the upside until we get a resolution to this thing.

There's an internal conflict as Bush tries to satisfy two different constituencies. The public finds reassurance in government taking a harsher stance, but big business is a little conflicted in that it traditionally doesn't want government putting too many regulations on it. - Donald Selkin Quotes

There's an internal conflict as Bush tries to satisfy two different constituencies. The public finds reassurance in government taking a harsher stance, but big business is a little conflicted in that it traditionally doesn't want government putting too many regulations on it.

Until we get a sense of when it's going to stop, that's really going to restrain [stocks]. The market, to me, looks like two steps forward and one step back. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Until we get a sense of when it's going to stop, that's really going to restrain [stocks]. The market, to me, looks like two steps forward and one step back.

We need a spark, I just don't see what there is in next week's numbers that's going to do it. - Donald Selkin Quotes

We need a spark, I just don't see what there is in next week's numbers that's going to do it.

I would say in the next few weeks we can kind of grind in place, maybe a little to the upside. Maybe we'll get through the pre-announcement period without too much trouble, and then we'll get into third-quarter earnings in October, and they should be mostly in line. - Donald Selkin Quotes

I would say in the next few weeks we can kind of grind in place, maybe a little to the upside. Maybe we'll get through the pre-announcement period without too much trouble, and then we'll get into third-quarter earnings in October, and they should be mostly in line.

We're just kind of grinding in place. - Donald Selkin Quotes

We're just kind of grinding in place.

Earnings are not so great and we've got all these things we can't control, from military action in Afghanistan to the anthrax scare, so people are doing a little selling. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Earnings are not so great and we've got all these things we can't control, from military action in Afghanistan to the anthrax scare, so people are doing a little selling.

People are frustrated. The pattern has been a couple of days of rallies on a little good news and then it fizzles out. There's no reason to make big commitments with all of this unresolved. The hope now is that we can dig in our heels at key support levels and find some balance. - Donald Selkin Quotes

People are frustrated. The pattern has been a couple of days of rallies on a little good news and then it fizzles out. There's no reason to make big commitments with all of this unresolved. The hope now is that we can dig in our heels at key support levels and find some balance.

News

We're projecting technology earnings are going to grow almost 40 percent this quarter and that's on top of a very, very strong 1999. Energy company earnings obviously will grow close to 80 percent, but that's on top of a weak '99. So there are companies that should have leadership. After all, if you look at the companies that issue profit warnings last week; Maytag, McDonald's, I mean I don't think the future of growth of American economy is washing machines or cheeseburgers. - Donald Selkin Quotes

We're projecting technology earnings are going to grow almost 40 percent this quarter and that's on top of a very, very strong 1999. Energy company earnings obviously will grow close to 80 percent, but that's on top of a weak '99. So there are companies that should have leadership. After all, if you look at the companies that issue profit warnings last week; Maytag, McDonald's, I mean I don't think the future of growth of American economy is washing machines or cheeseburgers.

Some of the stocks that rallied in advance of a possible Bush victory might be vulnerable. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Some of the stocks that rallied in advance of a possible Bush victory might be vulnerable.

Friday's Dow movement shows that the market is in an uptrend. That's encouraging. The market is trying to anticipate a recovery before the economy. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Friday's Dow movement shows that the market is in an uptrend. That's encouraging. The market is trying to anticipate a recovery before the economy.

Today is very news driven. You've got GE, you've got HPQ, and the economic reports were a little better. It's the tech stocks that are leading the way. You're seeing a rotation out of the consumer stocks and into the techs. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Today is very news driven. You've got GE, you've got HPQ, and the economic reports were a little better. It's the tech stocks that are leading the way. You're seeing a rotation out of the consumer stocks and into the techs.

News

I'm encouraged. You get a strong rally for a few days, a couple of days of selling so people can take some profits, then new buyers come in at the lower level. That's the classic definition of an uptrend. - Donald Selkin Quotes

I'm encouraged. You get a strong rally for a few days, a couple of days of selling so people can take some profits, then new buyers come in at the lower level. That's the classic definition of an uptrend.

The market is in one of these funks where it puts a negative spin on everything. I don't see what's going to pull us out of this in the short term. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The market is in one of these funks where it puts a negative spin on everything. I don't see what's going to pull us out of this in the short term.

The market looks ahead, and maybe investors are worried that between the higher interest rate picture and the decelerating profit growth, the market may have a tough time advancing. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The market looks ahead, and maybe investors are worried that between the higher interest rate picture and the decelerating profit growth, the market may have a tough time advancing.

This thing with the oil is nutty. Even the president of OPEC says prices should be $10 to $15 lower than they are. It has very little relation to the supply and demand statistics. - Donald Selkin Quotes

This thing with the oil is nutty. Even the president of OPEC says prices should be $10 to $15 lower than they are. It has very little relation to the supply and demand statistics.

Prudential upgraded the semiconductors and that got the sector going. This was the revenge of the nerds. The most beat up, pathetic stocks had one of their up days. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Prudential upgraded the semiconductors and that got the sector going. This was the revenge of the nerds. The most beat up, pathetic stocks had one of their up days.

If we can hit these economic numbers and the earnings are good, and we can chug a little higher this week, that would be helpful. The wild card is still oil. - Donald Selkin Quotes

If we can hit these economic numbers and the earnings are good, and we can chug a little higher this week, that would be helpful. The wild card is still oil.

The reports after the bell looked pretty good, including Texas Instruments, and that should probably help the techs tomorrow. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The reports after the bell looked pretty good, including Texas Instruments, and that should probably help the techs tomorrow.

Individual stocks can go up, but the market is too overbought internally and there is too much complacency for a rally. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Individual stocks can go up, but the market is too overbought internally and there is too much complacency for a rally.

I think we'll bounce in this same range. I don't think the rest of the earnings will allow us to bust out of this range... I don't see where we would get the strength to push us beyond those highs. - Donald Selkin Quotes

I think we'll bounce in this same range. I don't think the rest of the earnings will allow us to bust out of this range... I don't see where we would get the strength to push us beyond those highs.

Rest

A slowdown in GDP could inject a note of caution in copper and the other metals. All of the metals are a down a little bit today. - Donald Selkin Quotes

A slowdown in GDP could inject a note of caution in copper and the other metals. All of the metals are a down a little bit today.

The fact that the Dow crossed 11,000 this week and held it is important for sentiment. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The fact that the Dow crossed 11,000 this week and held it is important for sentiment.

The market really can't advance that strongly as long as the Fed is raising rates. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The market really can't advance that strongly as long as the Fed is raising rates.

The chances of the Nasdaq ever getting back there are very remote. It would have to double itself, which would be like the Dow hitting 20,000, which is not going to happen. - Donald Selkin Quotes

The chances of the Nasdaq ever getting back there are very remote. It would have to double itself, which would be like the Dow hitting 20,000, which is not going to happen.

Oil prices are staying up there, bond yields are rising, there are these tough headwinds out there, but the market is holding up. - Donald Selkin Quotes

Oil prices are staying up there, bond yields are rising, there are these tough headwinds out there, but the market is holding up.

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